PUBLIC PREDICTION MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Probability moves
Probability moves
before the headline.
Track material probability shocks, comparable-market rifts, catalysts, and resolution risk across public Polymarket and Kalshi data. Observation only—no trading surface.
READ-ONLY
WAITING FOR RELEASE
- Markets
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- Material shocks
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- Formal rifts
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- Source state
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01 / HERO SURFACE
LIVE PROBABILITY FIELD
POLYMARKETKALSHI
Waiting for a validated release…
02 / ATTENTION TOPOLOGY
FUTURE PRESSURE SURFACE
Area is attention mass. Color tracks direction or cross-venue probability gap.
Waiting for projection…
03 / MATERIAL MOVES
--PROBABILITY SHOCKS
Thin noise is suppressed by movement, quote-quality, and conviction gates.
Waiting for shocks…
04 / CROSS-VENUE
--CONSENSUS RIFT
Formal gaps include only exact or strong comparable markets.
Waiting for comparable markets…
05 / NEXT 7 DAYS
CATALYST HORIZON
Waiting for catalysts…
06 / CONTRACT CLARITY
RESOLUTION RISK
Waiting for rules evidence…
07 / EVIDENCE & OPERATIONS
EVIDENCE / SOURCE HEALTH
Observed time is preserved during Last-Good carry-forward; failure values never become zero.
Waiting for source state…